As Tony “the Poodle” Blair was jetting off toward
I just read Facing Realities in
Oy vey. I need a drink. A strong one.
As a WW II British aircraft mechanic famously exclaimed as he assessed a heavily damaged plane that barely made it back after a dogfight – “Fuck! The fucking fucker’s fucked!”
The report is stark and sobering in its assessment and it delivers a stinging indictment of the folly of the
It is increasingly likely that a stable, unified
- The three pillars of power – economic, security and political – have devolved into tribal and ethnic factions. The so-called government of
is merely one “state-like actor” and at grave risk of being upstaged. This breaking down along regional and tribal lines is a defining feature of the political structure of Iraq , and recognition of this is mandatory. Iraq is not caught in the grip of a sectarian civil war – it is a seething cauldron of many different civil and sectarian conflicts. These conflicts have become internalized, and the influence of this has weakened the social fabric. Iraq
- The attempt to secure the capital by escalating the number of troops (what they still stupidly and wrongly refer to as a “surge”) is not curbing violence, and security can not be restored in a short period of time, if at all.
- Destabilizing issues loom on the horizon and will come to the fore in the next year. Issues like oil sharing, control of disputed territories and Federalism will need to be resolved.
- This need for resolution is complicated by the meddling of the neighbors.
Iran, Saudi Arabiaand all have various reasons for perpetuating Iraqi instability, and all use different means to peddle their influence. Turkey
It is high time that these realities be acknowledged and accepted if the complete and utter implosion of the state of
Ultimately, it’s their country, no matter how desperately we lust for their oil.
[Cross-posted from the blog you should be reading, Watching Those We Chose]